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 Haugen Custom Finacial Systems-Model The Model
  
The Model
        How the Model Works
        Benefits of the Model
        High Performance Profile
        Evaluating the Model
              Historical Stock Predictions

If you’re considering a subscription, here are a few ways to evaluate our performance: First you can evaluate our predictions against real world outcomes. Investars.com has audited our monthly results for more than two years against about 50 other research organizations. Haugen Systems has been consistently ranked in the top five. We are often ranked #1.

The second evaluation involves the chart below. It is an examination of hypothetical portfolios constructed from our real-time signals. Keep in mind that we don’t predict whether the market is going up or down. Instead, we predict the relative returns of roughly the largest 3,500 US stocks by market cap.

Each month the model ranks these from lowest to highest expected return. Then we divide the 3,500 stocks into deciles, which amounts to 10 portfolios of 350 stocks each. At the end of each month we compare our predictions to the realized returns.

Consistently, decile 10 outperforms decile 1 and over a ten year period, as you can see from the chart below, each decile outperforms the one below it. This is powerful evidence that the model is doing exactly what it is designed to do.

                            The Our Performance:   Decile vs S&P 500 Returns chart showing Series 1 series.

We can also tell you that once you’re a subscriber, you’re likely to remain one. We still have clients who have been with us since the inception of the company more than a decade ago. That’s because the model has proven its ability to enhance almost any fund manager’s performance, regardless of investment strategy.

Please see the Performance section of this site for more statistics and evaluation tools. If you wish, you can download a delayed 10 year plus history of our rankings. Please feel free to contact us!

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